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Elon Musk's Bold Claim: AI Set to Surpass Human Intelligence by Next Year Sparks Debate

Elon Musk, the brilliant founder of Tesla and xAI, has predicted that artificial intelligence (AI) will surpass the brightest human intelligence next year, or the last one in the year 2026. Interview with Nikolai Tangen, managing director of the Norwegian Wealth Fund on various topics including the future capabilities of AI and the challenges faced in its development and extended.

"If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as being smarter than the smartest human being, I think probably next year, within two years," Musk said. Interestingly, this isn’t the first time the billionaire has warned about AI, having sounded such a warning in a podcast just last month.

AI Limitations

Musk, who played a key role in founding OpenAI before starting his career, xAI, as a competitive effort, highlighted the current limitations AI faces due to lack of electricity and advanced computer chips. He revealed that Grok, the anticipated version 2 development of the xAI AI Chatbot will be completed by May. But, this progress is hampered by a lack of enough Nvidia H100 GPUs 20,000 of them are needed to train the model.

Looking ahead, Musk said that to produce as many versions as the Grok 3 would require a large number of chips, estimated to be around 100,000.

More electricity is needed

Despite these obstacles, Musk highlighted the shift in AI development challenges from the availability of chips to the need for more electricity in the coming years. This insight suggests that the demand for resources is increasing as AI technologies become more sophisticated and widespread.

At the Tesla Workshop

The recent strike on Tesla in Sweden was also made short-lived, with Musk suggesting a solution to the conflict: "I think the storm has passed on that front," a sentiment echoed by Tangen, who heads Norway's sovereign wealth fund the $1.5 billion front ends one of Tesla’s most important investors. He referred to a recent meeting between the company and its chairman, who provided an update on the situation.

Musk's legal battle with OpenAI over a move away from the nonprofit's mission toward for-profit goals also watched, marking an ongoing narrative in the tech mogul's relationship intensity and in the field of AI as artificial intelligence advances continue, take note of Musk’s predictions and provide insight into the accelerated growth and challenges ahead in the technology and automotive industry. 

Similar Advance Warning

Musk, who is currently embroiled in a legal dispute with OpenAI, maker of the viral AI chatbot ChatGPT, confirmed last month that AI is poised to surpass the cognitive capacity of any individual human being at year 2025. Musk's lawsuit against the company, led by Sam Altman, over OpenAI alleges that they breached their ‘founder agreement’ by collaborating with tech giant Microsoft.

During the conversation, Kurzweil informed Rogan that achieving artificial intelligence in the human mind will be realized by 2029. He said, "We're not quite there yet, but we're on track, and by 2029, it will rival any individual. I'm actually being cautious. Some anticipate it happening as early as next year or the year after."

Conclusion: Elon Musk's claim that AI could surpass human intelligence within the next year has reignited discussion about the limits of artificial intelligence's capabilities and limitations of artificial intelligence.